Friday, 17 January 2020

LIfe after Brexit


International headlines replace Brexit as we start 2020 and few will be sorry about that
The Labour Leadership contest is not very inspiring to the public at large and neither will be the technical side of the enacting the Withdrawal Agreement 
The media will focus on the Tories for the foreseeable future as the views of the Opposition Parties are irrelevant
The Middle East blows up and dies down and will be a continual thorn in the side of western Leader for the foreseeable future
Iran will take it’s time in responding to the assignation of its General and that will enable it to diffuse the situation
The real politics of the incident is that Iran became careless and misjudged Trump and Iran thought it could attack America and its Allies via its proxy organisations with impunity>perhaps the balance has returned
The consequences of the mistake over the airline will resonate and negotiations will start for a new deal later in the year>such is the power of sanctions!
Our MSM always follows the US elections which will be the international event of 2020. At present Trump looks like the winner and as they say it is his to lose
The political excitement of the last 3 years has ceased although there may be a hiatus late in the year as the end of transition gets close ending up with a new deal around middle November to allow both sides to ratify before the end of the year
So social media will not have the attraction as hitherto
As a country we are now moving into a period where there will be relatively massive infrastructure investment and much of that in the North
And private investment will get a boost from the conclusion of Brexit 
The NHS management will be improved and brought up to date but pressure will continue due to the advance of medical science and demand
A cross party commission will report on social care both for now and the future
On both these issue the Tories must show progress by 2024
Climate change targets and progress will increasingly become the central issue of the next decade
Our grandchildren at 16 plus are well and truly orientated in that direction and they will vote in 2024 and by end of decade the movers and shakers of our future > my eldest will be 29 , then 28 26 and youngest 23 [besides I will be 81 at next election and 86/87 at end of decade ]
I am confident that we are looking at a Tory decade whoever is the Labour Leader  
There will be crisis and events and the Government will make mistakes but the next decade will not be like the last
Because 2010 started with a coalition and then half way we had a small then minority government >it had to deal with crisis issues and austerity to get us back on track and that was basically unexciting until Brexit came along
We start the 2020’s with a bang and lots of positive vibes
Labour went to the extreme/Marxist left and lost heavily and they start 2020 in disorder and having to find a focus which appeals to electorate
As Boris is firmly in the middle ground that is not going to be easy
Some will think that the same policies and approach with a different Leader will with one more push turn the Country deep red As at day one of 2020 they are in control of Labour so drastic changes are unlikely in short term
But anything can happen in the next 5 years        

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