Friday, 15 September 2017

Money to EU

Whilst we can apparently leave without paying any money there is a perhaps an argument to support that as we have agreed the EU Budget to 2020 then we should carry on with out 'net' obligations until the end of that budget period After that we contribute and vice versa to the EU institutions we participate in So that would be a net £8.5B for year 1 of the transition But how long transition do we need? I suppose that depends on the deal but if we have zero tariffs and friction free customs then the arrangements for that are surely simple and the procedures only require minor changes For example would any real changes be needed if the EHIC continues -no as it is set up and works [well for EU 27 as apparently we do not fully reclaim!] After that there may be some projects on going which we have committed for and we should perhaps pay for them Post 2020 there will be a new EU 27 budget and that will be none of our business and naturally we will have no input on its content There will be the balancing of the assets shares which should be relatively easy to calculate But I do not accept any argument that we should pay 'just for access to SM & CU' The new trade deal will be equally beneficial to both EU 27 and us. Some say more important to EU 27 So paying hard earned British tax payers money to subsidise EU 27 budget after we leave seems to me would not be very popular even with former Remain voters Once it is accepted that tariff free trade and friction free customs is equally beneficial to both sides why should we pay ' a fee' to trade with them even during a transition period? The transitional period is beneficial to both sides as EU 27 business needs time to adjust as well as us-that is if any one does When the men from Brussels shout about the money they want us to pay, I'm sure that the majority of the electorate think it is a 'Joke' and kit is the stupid Europeans getting their knickers in a twist after a taxpayer funded lunch!

Wednesday, 13 September 2017

Decline of Unions

Unions are no longer the threat to our economy or lives as in the past. Membership has fallen from 13.2m in 1979 to 6.2m now and dropped last year by 4.4%. That is a whopping drop of 53.03%-more than half! I wonder how much the Leaders pay have increased since then with dropping membership! And 40% of members are over 50 so clearly Unions do not appeal to young people 63.55% of Union members are in the public sector perhaps a relic from the past as the private sector has embraced new technologies and created jobs so that now the largest number of people are in jobs and unemployment very low Whatever the Leaders may say or Corbyn clearly the workforce are not clamouring to the Union cause and why is that? Simple, they have served their purpose and in some respects did a good job overall when they did not use their power for political purposes: Winter of Discontent, 3 day working week and Coal Miners strike come to mind. The Unions still get the media coverage similar to the old days but they are a spent force and with the continual declining membership this should dwindle into a side show Perhaps historians will report that their influence declined as more and more of the work force became middle class with the life style which follows and the Unions misuse of political power and workers [we are all workers now] didn’t want to pay for that Corby can shout from the roof tops for young people to join Unions but they won’t-it is not the same as bribing them to vote for Labour by scrapping University fees as the perception is that Unions are antiquated and not fit for purpose in the modern economy And if the decline continues at the same rate as last year then by 2022 membership will dip below 5m! A spent force except for possibly public sector workers

Monday, 11 September 2017

Moderate Labour Fight Back?

Labour are clearly waging a traditional left wing [Militant/Momentum/Marxist] war in the country buoyed up by the surprise election result The reasons for that do not matter. It is fact and being exploited These supporters work hard and will do any job to get control of local constituencies which leads to local councillors and eventually MPs of their inclination It is a replication of Militant’s campaigns in Liverpool before Militant was banned but now spread across the country As we saw with Militant, only Labour can stop it and this time around this will not happen because with Corbyn they are in control at Westminster The next step is to take their campaign to the streets so over the next 5 years we should expect to see Labour on the streets with the Unions objecting to everything. Their policies will be adjusted to meet their aims and as you see currently their Marxist economic policies are kept as quiet as they can The media do not seem to want to expose these policies perhaps because they all live in a London bubble where they meet centre left politicians who they support and are in denial of the changes taking place elswhere The slogan perhaps with Westminster Labour MPs is ‘keep quiet and Corbyn will eventually go away’ Well he may but only after Militant/Momentum are in full control of the Labour Party You do not have to be clever to see this is reality but perhaps it helps to have to have lived in the Militant environment in Liverpool and be a septuagenarian! Many may say, does it matter as this country has never elected a far left Marxist Government so let them ruin the Labour Party and the Conservative Party will benefit I agree but there is always a risk of complacency as we saw in the June Election and they just might at some time in the future, perhaps during or after the next recession just scrape in by offering everything to everybody! But giving nothing when they get in The risk is not now because the age of austerity is over and prior to the election in 2022 there will be a mini boom whatever the outcome of Brexit The risk is down the line and Militant/Momentum know that once they have control no one will try to take it back from them! By then it will be too late and quite simply all the Leadership and MPs will be of their ilk The only solution for Labour is to bring them down now in the Parliamentary Party. Moderates will have to refuse to work with Corbyn and gang and refuse to take the whip and abstain or vote against them. Ensuring that they are unable to have a Shadow Team and are in effective Work with the moderate Unions and against the militant Unions who are itching to get back of the streets again like the old days In a way the moderates have to work down from the top to establish control of the Party whilst the Militants/Momentum work upwards They risk being deselected but only if they are not proactive in their constituency and using their friendly media to openly campaign against Militant/Momentum True whilst all this is going on the Conservative Government can rule safely but if the moderates start to fight back now they may just have won by 2022 For me as a Conservative supporter a hard left Marxist Labour Party will ensure that for the rest of my life I will be governed by Conservatives but not too sure if it will be good for the country I suspect that history will say that Blair’s New Labour was good for the country for the first two terms. It was well supported by the electorate. But they lost it through complacency at the end and objectively, for Cameron to win in 2010, he had to be a semi Blair! There is nothing drastically wrong with a centre left Government just a change of emphasis In the aftermath of the election the moderates are working with their devil but soon I suspect when the stark reality of the increased control by Militant/Momentum is plain, a revolution may be on the near horizon for Labour By Conference 2018 perhaps If not then the end of the Labour Party as we have known it is nigh Interesting times ahead

Friday, 8 September 2017

Where are we on Brexit The silly season perhaps where both sides are negotiating and using PR to improve their position. But are these negotiations real? Objectively once the fact that UK is leaving is accepted then the end deal is just common sense but the EU 27 cannot be seen to agreeing to this new arrangement without a dramatic political debate. In other words, they have to dress up allowing the UK to have its cake and eat it And it is the only political game in town so everyone has to play Here in UK Labour also recognising the end deal have to play the role of the opposition and they have chosen to do that by arguing against the practical issues instead of the central ones So everyone knows the outcome but what is it? Trade will be zero tariffs and friction free customs so the existing procedures only have to be tinkered with A new Tribunal for disputes We will pay contribution towards EU Budget up to 2020-no legal requirement but we have agreed to this budget We will join and contribute to EU organisations which we chose without any restriction from EU 27 Existing resident Expats will maintain same rights as now but new ones and immigration will be based on our current rules for non EU applicants and same for individual EU 27 States From day one our regulations will be the same as EU 27 but both sides will naturally change them as required to meet their own requirements as and when appropriate As the changes will be very few at day 1 there will be just a short transition period for practical purposes Everything therefore carries on basically as though we have not left except that we are no longer ruled by EU and can chose to adopt or ignore any new regulations they devise and our Courts are sovereign I suppose this raises the question why? Quite simply because the economic and security benefits to both sides overwhelm the short term political objections of supporters of Project Super State Europe It would not do the Project any good at all if EU 27 self-inflicted a recession or impacted on the businesses of EU 27 citizens In the end money talks

Trevor Phillips

Trevor Phillips Whilst the Patel issue was dying this has taken it off the front pages and I suspect the Phillips issue is going to run ...